Brug af futures til at investere i commodities (råvarer)

Indholdet af InvestorsOrbit er udarbejdet med det formål at give en generel introduktion til finansielle produkter. InvestorsOrbit kan ikke erstatte finansiel rådgivning og kan hverken anses for at være et tilbud om at yde finansiel rådgivning eller et tilbud om nogen anden rådgivning eller service. Investorer opfordres til at kontakte egen investeringsrådgiver for individuel information om eventuel investering, skatteforhold med videre.

En måde at investere i råvarer på er gennem en futures-kontrakt. En futures-kontrakt er en juridisk aftale om at købe eller sælge et bestemt råvare aktiv til en forudbestemt pris på et bestemt tidspunkt i fremtiden. Køberen af en futures-kontrakt påtager sig forpligtelsen til at købe og modtage den underliggende råvare, når futures-kontrakten udløber. Sælgeren af futures kontrakten påtager sig forpligtelsen til at levere og levere den underliggende vare på kontraktens udløbsdato. Futures-kontrakter er tilgængelige for hver kategori af varer. Der er typisk to typer investorer, der deltager i futures markederne for råvarer: kommercielle eller institutionelle brugere af råvarerne og spekulative investorer.

Producenter og tjenesteudbydere bruger futures kontrakter som en del af deres budgetteringsproces for at normalisere udgifter og reducere pengestrømrelateret problemer. Producenter og tjenesteudbydere, der er afhængige af råvarer i deres produktionsproces, kan tage en position på råvaremarkederne som en måde at reducere deres risiko for økonomisk tab på grund af en prisændring.

Luftfartssektoren er et eksempel på en stor industri, der skal sikre enorme mængder brændstof til stabile priser i budgetfasen. På grund af dette behov indgår flyselskaber afdækning med futures kontrakter. Fremtidige kontrakter giver luftfartsselskaber mulighed for at købe brændstof til faste satser i en bestemt periode. På denne måde kan de undgå enhver flygtighed på markedet for råolie og benzin.

Landbrugskooperativer bruger også futures kontrakter. Uden muligheden for at afdække med futures kontrakter har enhver volatilitet på råvaremarkedet potentiale til at gå konkurs i virksomheder, der kræver et relativt niveau af forudsigelighed i priserne på varer for at styre deres driftsudgifter.

Spekulative investorer deltager også i futures markederne for råvarer. Spekulanter er sofistikerede investorer eller forhandlere, der køber aktiver i korte perioder og anvender visse strategier som en måde at drage fordel af ændringer i aktivets pris. Spekulative investorer håber at kunne drage fordel af ændringer i prisen på futures kontrakten. Fordi de ikke er afhængige af de faktiske varer, de spekulerer i for at opretholde deres forretningsdrift (som et flyselskab faktisk er afhængig af brændstof), lukker spekulanter typisk deres positioner, inden futures kontrakten forfalder. Som et resultat kan de måske aldrig tage den faktiske levering af selve varen.

Hvis du ikke har en mægler, der også handler futures, kan det være nødvendigt, at du åbner en ny mæglerkonto. Investorer er også typisk forpligtet til at udfylde en formular, der anerkender, at de forstår risikoen forbundet med futures trading. Futures-kontrakter kræver et andet minimumsindskud afhængigt af mægleren, og værdien af ​​din konto vil stige eller falde med værdien af ​​kontrakten. Hvis værdien af ​​kontrakten falder, kan du blive genstand for et marginopkald og kræve at deponere flere penge på din konto for at holde positionen åben. På grund af det høje gearingsniveau kan små prisbevægelser på råvarer resultere i enten store afkast eller store tab; en futures-konto kan udslettes eller fordobles i løbet af få minutter.

Der er mange fordele ved futures kontrakter som en metode til at deltage i råvaremarkedet. Analyse kan være lettere, fordi det er et rent spil på den underliggende vare. Der er også potentialet for enorme overskud, og hvis du er i stand til at åbne en minimum-indbetalingskonto, kan du kontrollere kontrakter i fuld størrelse (som ellers kan være svært at have råd til). Endelig er det let at tage lange eller korte positioner på futures kontrakter.

Fordi markederne kan være meget ustabile, kan direkte investering i råvarefutures være meget risikabelt, især for uerfarne investorer. Ulempen med, at der er et enormt potentiale for fortjeneste, er, at tab også har potentialet til at forstørres; hvis en handel går imod dig, kan du miste din indledende indbetaling (og mere), før du har tid til at lukke din position.

De fleste futures-kontrakter giver mulighed for at købe optioner. Futures-optioner kan være en lavere risiko for adgang til futures markederne. En måde at tænke på at købe optioner på er, at det kan sammenlignes med, at der foretages et indskud på noget i stedet for at købe det direkte. Med optioner har du ret – men ikke pligten – til at følge transaktionen, når kontrakten udløber. Derfor, hvis prisen på futures kontrakten ikke bevæger sig i den retning, du forventede, har du begrænset dit tab til omkostningerne ved den option, du har købt.

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